If a general election was held tomorrow Labour would win North Somerset from Liam Fox, ending his 32 year tenure as the seat’s Conservative MP.

Polling is consistently predicting a Labour win in North Somerset, with recent work by ElectoralCalculus and mega-polls by YouGov, and Survation predicting Fox losing by margins of up to 2.3%, or 1,145 votes.

It’s a two-horse race in North Somerset

The polls show it’s a clear two-horse race between Labour and Liam Fox in North Somerset. ElectoralCalculus predicts the Liberal Democrat and Green parties would gain just 14.7% and 10% of the vote respectively, compared to Labour and the Conservatives’ 32.8% and 30.5% respectively.

The results of the last three general elections show that a vote for Labour is the only way to get rid of the Tories here. In 2015, 2017, and 2019 Labour came a strong second, with the Liberal Democrats and Greens coming in third and fourth place respectively,

A bar chart showing ElectoralCalculus
A bar chart showing ElectoralCalculus' current election result prediction in North Somerset

Liberal Democrats and Greens are voting tactically for Labour

Former Liberal Democrat and Green voters are getting in touch with us and telling us on the doorstep that they are tactically switching their vote to Labour.

With Labour and the Tories neck-and-neck in North Somerset, every vote for the Liberal Democrats or Greens risks letting Liam Fox slip back in.

Cathy Brown, a Liberal Democrat campaigner, is going to vote tactically for Labour and urges others to do the same. Read about her priorities and why she is trusting Labour to deliver on them below.

A photo of Cathy Brown, Liberal Democrat campaigner, pledging her support for Labour.
A photo of Cathy Brown, Liberal Democrat campaigner, pledging her support for Labour.

North Somerset Labour Party needs your help to win

  1. Get in touch to let us know that we can rely on your tactical vote in North Somerset and ask for a garden stake or poster to show your support.
  2. Donate – whilst Liam Fox has received nearly £235,000 in donations since the last election, the Labour Party relies on small contributions from local people.
  3. Spread the word – follow us on Facebook, X, and Instagram and tell your friends and family in North Somerset that Labour can win here.
  4. Get involved – become a member or volunteer and help us knock on doors, deliver leaflets, and campaign on social media.
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